Josh Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 30, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, Josh Allen is predicted by the projection model to notch the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.6.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to call his own number, taking on 21.3% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a fantastic tally of 32.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (90th percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the best rushing QBs in the league since the start of last season.
Josh Allen's 6.31 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season marks a remarkable gain in his running prowess over last season's 5.30 rate.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 96.0 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Baltimore defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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