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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Josh Allen is anticipated by the projections to garner the 6th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.1.

This year, the strong Bengals run defense has given up a mere 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 29th-smallest rate in the league.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Josh Allen has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (18.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.2%).

As it relates to run support (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.

Josh Allen's 23.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his rushing skills over last year's 48.0 rate.

More Josh Allen Player Props

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