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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Allen is projected by the projections to earn the 4th-most carries out of all QBs with 7.1.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game in this week's contest (26.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (21.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.0% run rate.
  • When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
  • Josh Allen has rushed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).
  • Josh Allen's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating just 5.73 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.24 mark last year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's DE corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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