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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 220.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% rate.
  • With a remarkable 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been among the most efficient QBs in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Josh Allen's 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents an impressive decline in his passing talent over last year's 237.0 mark.

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