Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills · Week 20, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2026 9:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 219.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 214.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.3 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 64.7% rate.
With a remarkable 8.26 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been among the most efficient QBs in football.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects Josh Allen to throw 32.3 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
Josh Allen's 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year represents an impressive decline in his passing talent over last year's 237.0 mark.

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