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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 234.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • With an excellent record of 247.0 adjusted passing yards per game (79th percentile), Josh Allen has been among the top QBs in football since the start of last season.
  • Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 74.6%.
  • Josh Allen profiles as one of the most effective passers in football this year, averaging a fantastic 8.74 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • The New York Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • In this game, Josh Allen is projected by our trusted projection set to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.3.

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