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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 202.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 197.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 202.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful growth in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.7% rate.
  • With a remarkable 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target (90th percentile) this year, Josh Allen ranks as one of the best per-play passers in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, Josh Allen is expected by the model to total the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
  • Josh Allen's 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a significant decrease in his throwing ability over last season's 237.0 mark.

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