Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 28, 2025 9:17 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 202.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 197.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 202.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Josh Allen's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a meaningful growth in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.7% rate.
With a remarkable 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target (90th percentile) this year, Josh Allen ranks as one of the best per-play passers in football.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This week, Josh Allen is expected by the model to total the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 29.7.
Josh Allen's 207.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season conveys a significant decrease in his throwing ability over last season's 237.0 mark.

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