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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 217.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 130.5 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's 71.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable gain in his passing precision over last season's 64.7% mark.
  • With a remarkable 8.31 adjusted yards-per-target (97th percentile) this year, Josh Allen places as one of the most effective QBs in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Allen is predicted by the model to total the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.9.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Josh Allen has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (211.0) this year than he did last year (237.0).

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