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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • With a stellar rate of 224.0 adjusted passing yards per game (78th percentile), Josh Allen ranks as one of the best passers in football this year.
  • Josh Allen's passing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.7% to 71.2%.
  • With an impressive 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target (93rd percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL.
  • This year, the shaky Patriots defense has been gouged for a massive 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to average the 5th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.1.
  • The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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