My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Josh Allen's 69.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his passing precision over last year's 64.7% rate.
  • With a stellar 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL.
  • Opposing teams have thrown for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (267.0 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.
  • This year, the poor Bengals defense has yielded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a massive 8.65 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 127.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Josh Allen to throw 31.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™