Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 236.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 246.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
With an excellent rate of 262.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Josh Allen places among the leading QBs in football since the start of last season.
With an exceptional 67.8% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Allen places among the most accurate passers in the league.
With a remarkable 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Allen ranks as one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing teams: a puny 5.1 YAC.

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