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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Allen rates as one of the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 7.67 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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