Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 264.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 262.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 264.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
With an exceptional total of 272.0 adjusted passing yards per game (86th percentile), Josh Allen rates among the top passers in the league this year.
Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.2% to 75.6%.
Josh Allen has been among the most efficient passers in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 8.05 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Jacksonville's unit has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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