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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 32.8 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.

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