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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 passes per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

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