Josh Allen Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Pass Attempts

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Allen has attempted 36.9 passes per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

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