My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Allen

Josh Allen Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 32.8 passes in this contest, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™