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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.1.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in football vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (67.5% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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