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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Completions
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Josh Allen Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Josh Allen's 69.8% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful improvement in his passing precision over last year's 64.7% rate.
  • The Bengals linebackers profile as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 127.4 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Josh Allen to throw 31.4 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

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