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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 44.2% of their chances: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • This week, Josh Allen is predicted by our trusted projection set to notch the 2nd-most carries out of all quarterbacks with 8.2.
  • While Josh Allen has earned 21.5% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's running game in this week's game at 30.1%.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's DT corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

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