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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to run on 44.9% of their chances: the 6th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to garner 7.0 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
  • Josh Allen has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this season (39.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (22.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New York's group of DTs has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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