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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect Josh Allen to garner 6.6 carries this week, on average: the 4th-most out of all QBs.
  • Taking on 20.7% of his team's rushing play calls this year (90th percentile among quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in the run game.
  • The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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