My Account Log Out
 
 
Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • This week, Josh Allen is projected by the projection model to garner the 3rd-most carries among all QBs with 7.1.
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to take off running, making up 21.2% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among QBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™