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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • This week, Josh Allen is forecasted by the predictive model to accumulate the 3rd-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 7.3.
  • Taking on 20.5% of his offense's carries this year (86th percentile among quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a significant threat on the ground.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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