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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 46.8% of their downs: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the predictive model to notch the 6th-most rush attempts out of all QBs with 6.9.
  • Taking on 20.4% of his team's carries this year (86th percentile among quarterbacks), Josh Allen's mobility makes him a significant threat in Buffalo's rushing attack.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties profile as the 24th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have only 121.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

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