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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to garner 8.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 34.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

More Josh Allen Player Props

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