|
|
Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+215/-240).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +215 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +215.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a heavy -9.5-point underdog this week.The projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (64.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Vikings.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Jordan Mason's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 79.3% to 90.6%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).Jordan Mason has garnered 70.6% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs.Jordan Mason has been has not been looked to very often his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to running backs.After accumulating 4.0 air yards per game last year, Jordan Mason has seen a big downtick this year, currently averaging -6.0 per game.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
