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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+164/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Vikings.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Jordan Mason has been given 75.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
  • Jordan Mason has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jordan Mason has posted far fewer air yards this season (-7.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
  • With a very bad ratio of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Jordan Mason places among the weakest receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.

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