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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+113/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (7.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Jordan Mason's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates an impressive improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 79.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Among all RBs, Jordan Mason ranks in the 86th percentile for red zone carries since the start of last season, accounting for 51.3% of the usage in his team's rushing attack near the end zone.

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