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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.

The predictive model expects Jordan Mason to be a less important option in his offense's run game near the goal line in this week's game (68.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (83.3% in games he has played).

While Jordan Mason has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Minnesota's offense near the end zone in this game at 9.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.

Jordan Mason ranks in the 1st percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

Jordan Mason has rushed for 0.50 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (90th percentile).

The Steelers defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.05 per game since the start of last season.

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