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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest (11.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.

Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be much more involved in his team's ground game near the end zone this week (72.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (48.6% in games he has played).

Jordan Mason has not scored a touchdown through the air since the start of last season.

The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-most TDs in the league (1.11 per game) vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season.

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