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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (63.8% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Minnesota Vikings.
  • Jordan Mason's 92.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 79.4% mark.
  • The New York Giants defense has allowed the 3rd-most receiving touchdowns in the league to RBs: 0.29 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Out of all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 94th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, taking on 64.1% of the usage in his team's ground game near the goal line.
  • With a poor 1.5% Red Zone Target Rate (25th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the lowest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

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