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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to be much less involved in his team's run game near the goal line in this week's contest (50.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (70.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average).
  • Jordan Mason has totaled a feeble -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 9th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an awful ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Jordan Mason stands as one of the worst receiving TD-scorers in football among running backs this year.
  • With an excellent rate of 0.40 TDs on the ground per game (83rd percentile), Jordan Mason stands among the top rushing TD-scorers in the league this year.

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