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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The Vikings have been the 7th-most run-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.2% run rate.

This week, Jordan Mason is expected by the predictive model to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.5 rush attempts.

While Jordan Mason has earned 45.0% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Minnesota's run game in this game at 65.6%.

With a remarkable record of 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (90th percentile), Jordan Mason places among the leading pure rushers in football since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Jordan Mason's ground effectiveness has declined this year, totaling just 3.80 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.43 rate last year.

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