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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 11th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 42.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jordan Mason to total 17.9 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • The leading projections forecast Jordan Mason to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this week's game (32.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Mason's 40.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year reflects a significant regression in his rushing prowess over last year's 69.0 rate.
  • Jordan Mason's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, averaging just 4.67 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.43 figure last season.

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