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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-132/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Mason's ground effectiveness (4.83 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (77th percentile among RBs).
  • Jordan Mason checks in as one of the top RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.30 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The model projects Jordan Mason to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (35.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (49.6% in games he has played).
  • Jordan Mason's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a material reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 69.0 rate.

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