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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 131.6 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Bears defense has produced the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.25 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Jordan Mason to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this week's contest (32.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.0% in games he has played).
  • Jordan Mason's 45.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents an impressive regression in his running talent over last season's 69.0 figure.

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