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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-111/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Minnesota's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats decreased) due to playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.

The projections expect Jordan Mason to notch 10.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all running backs, Jordan Mason grades out in the 78th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 43.8% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Jordan Mason has grinded out 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among RBs (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to run on 42.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Chicago's safety corps has been exceptional last year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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