Jordan Mason Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Mason

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Mason Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (163 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone for it on 4th down a mere 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.