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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a heavy -9.5-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Mason's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 79.3% to 90.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).
  • This year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has allowed a feeble 75.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties profile as the 3rd-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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