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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jordan Mason's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 79.3% to 88.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • This year, the daunting Chargers defense has given up a meager 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 10th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Chargers safeties grade out as the 8th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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