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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jordan Mason's 92.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 79.4% mark.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.8%) to RBs this year (85.8%).
  • The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Jordan Mason has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (29.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (40.0%).

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