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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a heavy -9.5-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Jordan Mason's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 79.3% to 90.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).
  • After accumulating 4.0 air yards per game last year, Jordan Mason has seen a big downtick this year, currently averaging -6.0 per game.
  • With a bad 3.4 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason rates as one of the worst pass-game RBs in the NFL.
  • With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (4th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason has been as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the league in the open field.

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