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Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Vikings being a heavy -9.5-point underdog this week.The projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Jordan Mason's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 79.3% to 90.6%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the model to run just 62.2 total plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.The 10th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).After accumulating 4.0 air yards per game last year, Jordan Mason has seen a big downtick this year, currently averaging -6.0 per game.With a bad 3.4 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason rates as one of the worst pass-game RBs in the NFL.With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (4th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason has been as one of the best pass-catching RBs in the league in the open field.
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