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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings will be rolling out backup QB J.J. McCarthy in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jordan Mason's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 79.3% to 88.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are expected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Jordan Mason has posted far fewer air yards this season (-7.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
  • With a poor 3.5 adjusted yards per target (19th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason stands among the bottom RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
  • Jordan Mason grades out as one of the bottom running backs in the league at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
  • This year, the daunting Chargers defense has given up a meager 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

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