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Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 7th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.63 seconds per snap.The predictive model expects Jordan Mason to earn 2.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among RBs.Jordan Mason has posted a colossal 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).The Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (86%) versus running backs since the start of last season (86.0%).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 56.1% of their plays: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack results when facing windier conditions in this game.Jordan Mason profiles as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 2.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
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