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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings will be forced to start backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.

The model projects Jordan Mason to accrue 3.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

The leading projections forecast Jordan Mason to be a more important option in his offense's pass game in this week's game (11.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.6% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

With a 58.8% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the league has been the Minnesota Vikings.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 29.13 seconds per play.

With a subpar 2.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Jordan Mason places among the leading pass-catching running backs in the NFL in space.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Cincinnati's collection of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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