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Jordan Mason Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+320/-550).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -550.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4.5-point underdogs.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 62.2% of their plays: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.Jordan Mason's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 79.3% to 91.9%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Vikings to be the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.50 seconds per play.As it relates to air yards, Jordan Mason grades out in the lowly 12th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -5.0 per game.Jordan Mason checks in as one of the weakest pass-catching running backs this year, averaging just 4.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile when it comes to running backs.With a weak 3.4 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) this year, Jordan Mason rates among the weakest pass-catching RBs in football.Jordan Mason is positioned as one of the worst RBs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
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