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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • The model projects Jordan Mason to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (35.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (49.6% in games he has played).
  • The Commanders defensive ends profile as the 9th-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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