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Jordan Mason

Jordan Mason Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jordan Mason Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 53.4 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The projections expect Jordan Mason to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game in this week's contest (33.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.0% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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