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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jordan Love Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-1000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +750 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • Jordan Love's 69.5% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his throwing precision over last year's 65.9% mark.
  • Jordan Love has rushed for 0.00 TDs per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (3rd percentile).
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Steelers defense this year (74.6% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Green Bay Packers rank as the 7th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 54.5% red zone run rate.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's DT corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

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