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Jordan Love

Jordan Love Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jordan Love Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-740).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -660 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -740.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Jordan Love's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.9% to 71.3%.

With an outstanding ratio of 1.60 per game (93rd percentile), Jordan Love ranks as one of the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

The rushing TD line reads "0" on the back of Jordan Love's trading card this year.

The Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in football: 2.40 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Packers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Packers to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Packers have been the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 52.0% red zone run rate.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.05 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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