Jordan Love Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jordan Love

NFL · Player Props

Jordan Love

QB · Green Bay Packers

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Love Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+850/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Love is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a mere 1.4% of his team's rushing play calls near the end zone this year, putting him in the 20th percentile when it comes to QBs.
With a terrific ratio of 1.53 per game (87th percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the leading TD throwers in the league this year.
Jordan Love has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among QBs (3rd percentile).
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in football vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Bears defense has allowed the 5th-most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.86 per game this year.

Favors Under

With a 51.1% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league in these cases has been the Packers.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Chicago defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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